Personal thoughts - November 2023
Another month has passed, and the market had been action-packed. In October, the S&P fell to the definition of a correction (-10%) and sentiments reached a low. VIX went above 20, but did not show signs of any panic, with orderly selling. At the bottom, S&P retreated to 4110. There was a FED meeting and after the decision to keep rates on hold, the mood shifted 180 degrees. The index shot up over 7 consecutive days of gains, and as of writing, the 9th day ended with 1.5% jump, closing at 4415 as of today. Since the recent low, the index had gained ~ 7% in less than 2 weeks. Forward PE is 19.37, back to where we started last month. One really has to be in the market most of the time, if not always. You just have to be there when "lightning strikes". The consequence is under performance. Bond market calmed somewhat, with 10 years yield falling from 5.1% peaks to settle around 4.6 levels. With S&P going up so sharply so quickly, it is holding me back from adding sign...